● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 23 September 2026
Int: Friendly
Turkmenistan vs Palestine
Monday, 28 September 2026 at 09:30
📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.
Win probability
35%
Turkmenistan wins
26%
Draw
39%
Palestine wins
xG Home
1.27
Turkmenistan
Blowout %
38%
Dominant win
xG Away
1.37
Palestine
Analysis
Our model puts a Palestine win at 39.1% in this Int: Friendly fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.27 to 1.37.
Turkmenistan are off their season peak
Turkmenistan peaked at 1500 this season and sit at 1451 today, 49 points below their own best. Measuring a side against itself rather than against the table is often the earlier signal, and it is not visible in a league position.
Published 23 September 2026 · aleavici-football
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