Mexico vs Colombia

Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 01:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

39%

Mexico wins

27%

Draw

34%

Colombia wins

xG Home

1.29

Mexico

Blowout %

32%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.18

Colombia

Analysis

Our model puts a Mexico win at 38.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.29 to 1.18.

Colombia are hard to beat

Colombia have gone 7 matches without losing, though without stringing wins together. That pattern tends to push draw probability up more than it pushes a win probability.

Market odds

2.60

Mexico

3.20

Draw

2.75

Colombia

Published 27 September 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export