Jordan vs Syria

Sunday, 27 September 2026 at 17:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

47%

Jordan wins

26%

Draw

27%

Syria wins

xG Home

1.50

Jordan

Blowout %

44%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.07

Syria

Analysis

Our model puts a Jordan win at 46.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.5 to 1.07.

Where we disagree with the market

Bookmakers price Jordan at 1.54, which implies about 64.9%. Our model has it at 46.9% — 18 points lower. That is a wide gap, and it is worth being plain about what it means: it is not a claim that the price is wrong and we are right. It means two methods that usually agree have landed far apart on this one, and only the result will say which of them read it better.

Market odds

1.54

Jordan

3.95

Draw

6.50

Syria

Published 28 September 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export