United States vs Peru

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 20:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

60%

United States wins

23%

Draw

17%

Peru wins

xG Home

1.82

United States

Blowout %

56%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.83

Peru

Analysis

Our model puts an United States win at 60.4% in this Int: Friendly fixture — the clearest call on this fixture. Expected goals run 1.82 to 0.83.

Attack against defence

The single rating hides where the mismatch actually sits. Splitting it, United States's attack should find room against Peru's defence, by 143 points. That is the mechanism behind the expected-goals line rather than a separate opinion about it.

Market odds

1.51

United States

4.30

Draw

6.00

Peru

Published 27 September 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export