Oldham Athletic vs Salford City

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 16:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

36%

Oldham Athletic wins

27%

Draw

37%

Salford City wins

xG Home

1.25

Oldham Athletic

Blowout %

29%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.27

Salford City

Analysis

Our model puts a Salford City win at 37% in this League Two fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.25 to 1.27.

What this probability has been worth

A number is worth what it has been worth. Across 1,435 predictions published before kick-off and scored against the result afterwards, the calls we priced between 35% and 45% came in 39% of the time — 549 fixtures in that band. The model claimed 40.6%, so the two are within 1.6 points of each other. In this range the stated probability has meant roughly what it says.

Market odds

2.45

Oldham Athletic

3.50

Draw

2.70

Salford City

Published 27 September 2026 · aleavici-football

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