Mexico vs Colombia

Saturday, 26 September 2026 at 18:00

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

40%

Mexico wins

27%

Draw

33%

Colombia wins

xG Home

1.32

Mexico

Blowout %

34%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.18

Colombia

Analysis

Our model puts a Mexico win at 39.9% in this Int: Friendly fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.32 to 1.18.

Colombia are hard to beat

Colombia have gone 7 matches without losing, though without stringing wins together. That pattern tends to push draw probability up more than it pushes a win probability.

Published 23 September 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export