● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 24 September 2026
Int: Friendly
Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu
Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 04:00
📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.
Win probability
44%
Solomon Islands wins
27%
Draw
30%
Vanuatu wins
xG Home
1.42
Solomon Islands
Blowout %
50%
Dominant win
xG Away
1.12
Vanuatu
Analysis
Our model puts a Solomon Islands win at 43.8% in this Int: Friendly fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.42 to 1.12.
Evenly rated
There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1492 against 1480, a gap of 12 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.
Published 24 September 2026 · aleavici-football
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