Palestine vs New Zealand

Thursday, 24 September 2026 at 09:30

📅This match has already taken place. The predictions above were generated before kick-off.

Win probability

38%

Palestine wins

27%

Draw

35%

New Zealand wins

xG Home

1.29

Palestine

Blowout %

39%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.24

New Zealand

Analysis

Our model puts a Palestine win at 37.7% in this Int: Friendly fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.29 to 1.24.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1498 against 1527, a gap of 29 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Visualisations · generated charts

2026-09-24_China_vs_Palestine_slide1_9_16 · slide

2026-09-24_China_vs_Palestine_slide2_9_16 · slide

Published 25 September 2026 · aleavici-football

Signed export