Oud-Heverlee Leuven vs RAAL La Louvière

Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:00

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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 54% confidence

Win probability

57%

Oud-Heverlee Leuven wins

23%

Draw

20%

RAAL La Louvière wins

xG Home

1.84

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

Blowout %

54%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.98

RAAL La Louvière

Analysis

Our model puts an Oud-Heverlee Leuven win at 57% in this Belgian Pro League fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.84 to 0.98.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1472 against 1467, a gap of 4 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Margin risk

Our blowout flag reads 53.7%: more than half of all simulations end with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.

Published 12 September 2026 · aleavici-football

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