● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 12 September 2026
Ligue 2
Guingamp vs Red Star FC 93
Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 12:00
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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 29% confidence
Win probability
39%
Guingamp wins
27%
Draw
33%
Red Star FC 93 wins
xG Home
1.28
Guingamp
Blowout %
29%
Dominant win
xG Away
1.16
Red Star FC 93
Analysis
Our model puts a Guingamp win at 39.3% in this Ligue 2 fixture — close to a three-way split. Expected goals run 1.28 to 1.16.
Margin risk
Our blowout flag reads 28.6%: roughly one simulation in 3 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.
Published 12 September 2026 · aleavici-football
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