Çorum FK vs Alanyaspor

Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 14:00

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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 27% confidence

Win probability

29%

Çorum FK wins

26%

Draw

45%

Alanyaspor wins

xG Home

1.13

Çorum FK

Blowout %

27%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.50

Alanyaspor

Analysis

Our model puts an Alanyaspor win at 45.4% in this Süper Lig fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.13 to 1.5.

Evenly rated

There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1500 against 1520, a gap of 20 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.

Margin risk

Our blowout flag reads 27.3%: roughly one simulation in 4 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.

Published 12 September 2026 · aleavici-football

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