Bologna vs Torino

Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 13:00

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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 45% confidence

Win probability

52%

Bologna wins

25%

Draw

23%

Torino wins

xG Home

1.64

Bologna

Blowout %

45%

Dominant win

xG Away

0.99

Torino

Analysis

Our model puts a Bologna win at 52.3% in this Serie A fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.64 to 0.99.

Attack against defence

The single rating hides where the mismatch actually sits. Splitting it, Bologna's attack should find room against Torino's defence, by 102 points. That is the mechanism behind the expected-goals line rather than a separate opinion about it.

Margin risk

Our blowout flag reads 45.3%: roughly one simulation in 2 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.

Market odds

1.87

Bologna

3.35

Draw

3.75

Torino

Published 12 September 2026 · aleavici-football

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