aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 11 September 2026
Ligue 2

Rodez Aveyron vs AS Nancy Lorraine

Friday, 18 September 2026 at 18:00
Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 42% confidence
Win probability
52%
Rodez Aveyron wins
24%
Draw
24%
AS Nancy Lorraine wins
xG Home
1.68
Rodez Aveyron
Blowout %
42%
Dominant win
xG Away
1.05
AS Nancy Lorraine
Analysis

Our model puts a Rodez Aveyron win at 51.9% in this Ligue 2 fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.68 to 1.05.

Margin risk

Our blowout flag reads 42.4%: roughly one simulation in 2 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.

Published 11 September 2026 · aleavici-football
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