Liga de Quito vs Palmeiras

Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 22:00

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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 30% confidence

Win probability

29%

Liga de Quito wins

26%

Draw

46%

Palmeiras wins

xG Home

1.16

Liga de Quito

Blowout %

30%

Dominant win

xG Away

1.53

Palmeiras

Analysis

Our model puts a Palmeiras win at 45.6% in this Copa Libertadores fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.16 to 1.53.

Margin risk

Our blowout flag reads 29.5%: roughly one simulation in 3 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.

Published 11 September 2026 · aleavici-football

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