● aleavici-football · v1.0-xgboost · 11 September 2026
Greek Super League
Kifisia vs Levadiakos
Sunday, 13 September 2026 at 18:00
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Blowout AlertHigh probability of dominant scoreline — 47% confidence
Win probability
57%
Kifisia wins
22%
Draw
21%
Levadiakos wins
xG Home
1.93
Kifisia
Blowout %
47%
Dominant win
xG Away
1.07
Levadiakos
Analysis
Our model puts a Kifisia win at 56.8% in this Greek Super League fixture — a moderate lean. Expected goals run 1.93 to 1.07.
Evenly rated
There is almost nothing between these two on rating — 1478 against 1468, a gap of 10 points. Fixtures this evenly matched are where a model has least to say: the probabilities below are honest, but they are close to a coin weighted only slightly.
Margin risk
Our blowout flag reads 47.4%: roughly one simulation in 2 ends with a three-goal margin or more. Finishing gaps that wide make the scoreline far less predictable than the winner.
Published 11 September 2026 · aleavici-football
Signed export